Tier-2: PREDICT and CONCLUDE — making good guesses, reaching answers

Picture-prediction game: show first half of a comic; predict the ending.

• Project pictures
• Several children predict; record on chart

PREDICT means to make a smart guess about what will happen — based on EVIDENCE (what you already see or know). Not a wild guess — a smart one. CONCLUDE means to reach an answer after looking at all the evidence. Scientists predict, then test, then conclude. Readers predict what will happen in a story, then they see what actually happens, then they conclude.

• Predict first; conclude later.

  model PREDICT = before. CONCLUDE = after.

  prompt Difference?
• Evidence (dark clouds) + smart guess = prediction.

  model I predict it will rain.

  prompt Use PREDICT: clouds are dark, so I predict ___
• Evidence + answer = conclusion.

  model The dog is friendly.

  prompt Use CONCLUDE: I saw the dog wag its tail and lick my hand, so I conclude ___

• Predict or conclude: 'It will probably snow tomorrow' (predict — before)
• 'It snowed last night so the ground is white' (conclude — after seeing)
• Make one prediction about today's weather.

M-1-F-VOC-07-A Illustration

Two-panel anchor card. Left: 'PREDICT = smart guess BEFORE' with a child looking at storm clouds with a thought bubble 'It will rain'. Right: 'CONCLUDE = reach an answer AFTER' with the same child looking at puddles with a thought bubble 'It rained'. Diverse characters.

• Story-prediction stops: read aloud with strategic stops; predict, then read on, then conclude.

  scaffold Pre-marked stopping points; sentence frames.
• Partner share: 'I predicted ___. Then I read and concluded ___.'

  scaffold Frame.

• Use PREDICT in a sentence.
• Use CONCLUDE in a sentence.

• Chant: 'Predict = guess before. Conclude = answer after.'

• Make one prediction about tomorrow morning. Tell us tomorrow whether your prediction was right.